黄金大跌，中概股下挫！美降息预期，悬了？

Market Overview - Major US stock indices closed mixed, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average down 0.65% at 47147.48 points, the S&P 500 down 0.05% at 6734.11 points, and the Nasdaq up 0.13% at 22900.59 points. For the week, the Dow Jones rose 0.34%, the S&P 500 rose 0.08%, while the Nasdaq fell 0.45% [1][2] - European indices all closed lower, with the German DAX down 0.65% at 23860.62 points, the French CAC40 down 0.76% at 8170.09 points, and the UK FTSE 100 down 1.11% at 9698.37 points. For the week, the DAX rose 1.34%, the CAC40 rose 2.77%, and the FTSE 100 rose 0.16% [2] Chinese Concept Stocks - Most popular Chinese concept stocks fell, with Futu Holdings down over 7%, Gaotu Group down over 5%, Xpeng Motors down over 5%, JD Group down over 4%, Baidu down nearly 4%, Alibaba down nearly 4%, and Tiger Brokers down about 4%. However, some stocks like Canadian Solar rose over 17%, and others like Tuya Smart and Daqo New Energy saw gains of nearly 2% [4] Oracle Corporation - Oracle's stock fell nearly 7% this week, reflecting growing concerns over AI themes and high valuations in tech stocks. The company had previously committed to investing hundreds of billions in chips and data centers for its partnership with OpenAI [5][6] - Oracle's stock has dropped nearly 30% in the past month, erasing over $250 billion in market value since its partnership with OpenAI was announced in September. Barclays downgraded Oracle's debt rating to "underweight," warning that its credit rating could fall to BBB-, just above junk status [6][7] - Oracle's total interest-bearing debt has doubled over the past decade to $111.6 billion, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 500%, significantly higher than competitors like Amazon and Microsoft. Additionally, over $100 billion in lease commitments remain unrecognized, raising concerns about its leverage [6][7] Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Market expectations for a rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December have decreased due to persistent inflation signs. The probability of a 25 basis point cut has dropped from 67% to below 50% [8] - Kansas City Fed President Jeff Schmieding expressed concerns that further rate cuts could entrench high inflation rather than support the labor market. Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan indicated she would not support a rate cut unless compelling evidence showed inflation was decreasing significantly [8] Commodity Prices - International gold prices fell over 2%, with COMEX gold futures down 2.62% at $4084.4 per ounce, while silver futures dropped 5.21% to $50.4 per ounce [9][10] - The decline in gold prices is attributed to market skepticism regarding the Fed's potential rate cuts, as rising interest rates diminish the appeal of non-yielding assets like gold [10] - Crude oil prices saw an increase, with WTI crude up 2.15% at $59.95 per barrel and Brent crude up 1.97% at $64.25 per barrel, influenced by geopolitical events such as attacks on oil ports and the seizure of a tanker by Iran [10][11]