黄金 大跳水

Core Viewpoint - The recent hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials have led to a significant drop in spot gold and silver prices, with gold falling below $4040 per ounce and silver dropping over 4% [1][2]. Group 1: Market Reaction - Spot gold experienced a dramatic decline, falling from a peak of $4210 per ounce to a low of $4031.82 per ounce within 24 hours, marking a drop of $180 and a daily decrease of over 3% [1]. - As of the latest report, spot gold is trading at $4082.159 per ounce, reflecting a daily decline of 2.13% [1]. - Spot silver has also seen a significant drop, currently trading at $50.517 per ounce after losing over 4% [1]. Group 2: Federal Reserve Outlook - The probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in December has risen to 54.2%, indicating a growing concern about potential rate cuts [1][2]. - The likelihood of a 25 basis point rate cut in December has decreased from 94.4% a month ago to 45.8% [2]. - Federal Reserve officials, including Logan and Kashkari, have expressed skepticism about supporting another rate cut in December, citing concerns over inflation and labor market conditions [2][3]. - Some officials, like Milan, argue that recent economic data supports a more dovish stance, suggesting that the Fed should consider rate cuts based on improving inflation and weakening job market data [3].