Global equities index falls, bond yields rise on fading rate cut hopes

Core Viewpoint - The U.S. stock market showed resilience despite global market weaknesses, with the S&P 500 recovering losses aided by bargain hunters, while concerns about inflation and the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates influenced market sentiment [1][14]. Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell by 309.74 points (0.65%) to 47,147.48 but recorded a weekly gain of 0.3% [8] - The S&P 500 decreased by 3.38 points (0.05%) to 6,734.11, resulting in a weekly gain of 0.1% [8] - The Nasdaq Composite rose by 30.23 points (0.13%) to 22,900.59, ending the week with a loss of approximately 0.5% [8] - MSCI's global equities gauge declined by 4.37 points (0.44%) to 995.79, indicating a weekly gain of around 0.4% [8] Federal Reserve Insights - Federal Reserve officials expressed concerns about persistent inflation, with Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid highlighting that inflation issues extend beyond tariffs, indicating potential dissent regarding future rate cuts [2][14] - Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan opposed a December rate cut, citing high inflation as a concern [2][14] - Following comments from Fed officials, traders adjusted expectations for a quarter-point rate cut next month to a 46% probability, down from 66.9% the previous week [5][14] Sector-Specific Developments - The technology sector showed some recovery, with Nvidia, a leader in AI chips, increasing by 1.8%, while the smaller cap S&P 600 technology index closed up 0.3% [6][14] - Upcoming quarterly earnings reports from Nvidia and major retailers are anticipated to provide insights into consumer health and AI demand [6][14] Global Market Trends - European markets, including the pan-European STOXX 600 index and FTSEurofirst 300 index, closed down about 1% [9][14] - Asian shares outside Japan fell by 1.5% before U.S. markets opened [10][14] Currency and Commodity Movements - The dollar index rose by 0.02% to 99.26, with the euro down 0.08% at $1.1622, while the Japanese yen strengthened slightly against the dollar [11][14] - Oil prices increased due to supply concerns, with U.S. crude rising by 2.39% to $60.09 per barrel and Brent crude up by 2.19% to $64.39 per barrel [13][15] - Gold prices fell following hawkish remarks from Fed officials, with spot gold down 2.12% to $4,082.76 per ounce [13][15]