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本周外盘看点丨美国联邦政府重启后首个关键经济数据将出炉,财报季再成焦点
Di Yi Cai Jing·2025-11-16 02:21

Core Viewpoint - The recent end of the U.S. federal government shutdown has reignited concerns about market valuations, with investors closely monitoring upcoming economic data releases and the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook [2][3]. Economic Data and Market Reactions - The September employment report is expected to be the first significant data release post-shutdown, as it was believed to be compiled before the government closure [3]. - Following the end of the 43-day shutdown, various economic data releases are anticipated, including manufacturing surveys from the New York and Philadelphia Federal Reserve Banks [4]. - The upcoming earnings reports from major companies like Nvidia, Walmart, and Target will provide insights into consumer demand in the U.S. [4]. Federal Reserve and Interest Rates - Investors are adopting a cautious stance due to uncertainties surrounding the timing and reliability of key economic data, particularly employment figures, which may affect the Fed's decision on interest rates in December [3][6]. - Current market pricing indicates an almost even split between expectations for a rate cut and maintaining the current rate in December [3]. Oil and Gold Markets - International oil prices have risen due to supply disruptions from Russia, with WTI crude oil increasing by 0.57% to $60.09 per barrel and Brent crude oil rising by 1.19% to $64.39 per barrel [5]. - The gold market saw a rise of 2.21%, with COMEX gold futures reaching $4087.60 per ounce, as investors weigh the prospects of further monetary easing by the Federal Reserve [5]. European Economic Outlook - The European Union's autumn economic outlook report is set to be released, with a focus on the latest purchasing managers' index (PMI) data from France, Germany, and the Eurozone [9]. - Upcoming data releases in the Eurozone include Germany's producer price index (PPI) and the Eurozone's consumer confidence index [8][10].