中国银河证券:市场风险偏好下降 港股风格切换加速
智通财经网·2025-11-16 08:57

Market Performance - The Hong Kong stock market showed mixed performance from November 10 to November 14, with the Hang Seng Index rising by 1.26% to 26,572.46 points, while the Hang Seng Tech Index fell by 0.42%, and the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index increased by 1.41% [1][2] - Among the primary sectors, seven sectors saw gains while four experienced declines, with real estate, healthcare, and consumer goods leading the gains at 5.58%, 5.13%, and 4.74% respectively [2] Liquidity Analysis - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 233.12 billion, an increase of HKD 2.59 billion from the previous week, while the average short-selling amount decreased by HKD 1.11 billion to HKD 28.36 billion [3] - The net inflow of southbound funds totaled HKD 24.77 billion, a decrease of HKD 13.91 billion compared to the previous week [3] Valuation and Risk Appetite - As of November 14, the Hang Seng Index had a PE ratio of 12.05 and a PB ratio of 1.24, reflecting increases of 1.53% and 1.44% respectively, placing it at the 86% and 91% percentile levels since 2019 [4] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was recorded at 4.16%, which is significantly below the three-year rolling average [4] Investment Outlook - The market is expected to maintain a cautious risk appetite, with a rotation of hot sectors anticipated, leading to a potential continuation of a volatile trading environment [5] - Investment recommendations include focusing on cyclical stocks that may rebound due to changing supply-demand dynamics and dividend stocks as a defensive strategy amid uncertainties regarding U.S. Federal Reserve interest rate policies [5]