国常会部署“促消费稳投资”，新一轮降准降息有望实施

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese government is expected to intensify fiscal policies to boost consumption and stabilize economic growth amid challenges such as slowing external demand and weakened domestic momentum [1][2]. Economic Indicators - In October, the industrial added value increased by 4.9% year-on-year, slowing down by 1.6 percentage points from September; retail sales of consumer goods grew by 2.9%, a slight decline of 0.1 percentage points from September [1]. - From January to October, fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) totaled 4089.14 billion yuan, down 1.7% year-on-year [1]. Consumption Trends - Service consumption is becoming a significant growth point, with retail sales of consumer goods increasing by 4.3% year-on-year and service retail sales growing by 5.3% from January to October [3]. - Digital and green consumption are expanding, with online retail sales rising by 9.6% year-on-year [4]. Investment Insights - Fixed asset investment has shown a rare cumulative year-on-year negative value for two consecutive months, primarily due to a slowdown in infrastructure, manufacturing, and real estate investments [5]. - Despite the nominal decline, fixed asset investment remains positive when adjusted for price factors, indicating its continued role in economic growth [5]. Policy Measures - The "Two Major" construction initiative is highlighted as a key strategy for expanding effective investment and nurturing new productive forces, with a planned allocation of 800 billion yuan for 1459 projects by 2025 [6][7]. - The government aims to enhance the adaptability of supply and demand to release consumption potential and improve economic circulation [8]. Future Outlook - The interaction between new supply and new demand is expected to foster a virtuous cycle of potential consumption and beneficial investment, enhancing the internal dynamics of the domestic economy [9].