坚持低估值价值策略 构建穿越周期的科学组合

Core Viewpoint - Liu Zheng's investment strategy emphasizes a low-valuation value investment approach, which has shown resilience and adaptability, leading to a year-to-date return exceeding 50% as of November 7, 2023 [1][3] Investment Strategy - The investment framework is rooted in a "low-valuation value investment strategy," which has been validated through multiple market cycles and is considered scientifically sound and sustainable [1] - Stock selection alpha is deemed essential for the portfolio's survival, focusing on fundamentally sound companies with low valuations and high implied returns [1] - The strategy is not static; it evolves through practice, incorporating risk management and liquidity considerations, especially when expanding into Hong Kong stocks [1] Market Perspective - Liu Zheng maintains a cautious stance towards high-growth sectors like AI, questioning the sustainability of high ROE in such environments and advocating for a return to fundamental business logic [2] - The current equity market is viewed positively, with expectations of a cyclical recovery in active equity funds as economic conditions improve [3] - Structural opportunities are identified in domestic demand, resources, midstream manufacturing, and technology sectors, despite existing macroeconomic pressures [3] Market Valuation Insights - The dynamic assessment of market conditions indicates that the risk premium for the CSI 800 index remains above historical medians, suggesting overall valuations are still reasonable [4] - In contrast, the Hong Kong market shows a low risk premium due to high benchmark yields, presenting unique investment opportunities, particularly in H-shares that are undervalued compared to A-shares [4]