Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-11-17 00:39Core Viewpoint - The chemical industry is experiencing a peak in new capacity investments, but the actual peak has passed, leading to a reduction in overall capital expenditure in the sector moving forward [1] Group 1: Capital Expenditure Trends - Fixed asset investment in the chemical raw materials and chemical products manufacturing industry decreased by 5.6% year-on-year from January to September 2025, marking a decline for the first time since 2020 [1] - Capital expenditure for listed companies in the basic chemical industry in the first half of 2025 was approximately 124.1 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 12.5% [1] - The total amount of construction in progress at the end of the first half of 2025 was about 397.9 billion, down 12.2% year-on-year [1] Group 2: Supply and Demand Dynamics - With the reduction in capital expenditure and a gradual recovery in demand, the supply-demand balance in the chemical industry is expected to improve, leading to a potential increase in industry prosperity [1] Group 3: Valuation Insights - The current PB-LF valuation of the basic chemical industry is close to the bottom levels observed in 2019 and 2024, indicating that the valuation remains low [1] - Continuous improvement in supply-demand dynamics is likely to sustain the upward trend in industry prosperity, while the PB valuation remains at historically low levels, suggesting a favorable outlook for valuation recovery in the chemical sector [1]