美国六周政府停摆终结 银价上涨仍占主力

Group 1 - The silver market experienced a bullish trend, with a significant breakout above the key retracement area of $50.02-$51.07, reinforcing the upward momentum [1] - On Thursday, silver was trading above the key moving average MA60 and the Vegas channel, although the relative strength index showed negative signals [1] - Market sentiment remained generally bullish on Friday, indicating continued interest in silver [1] Group 2 - The recent six-week U.S. government shutdown officially ended, but its impact on the already challenged U.S. economy will persist, with full effects expected to take months to materialize [2] - The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) estimates that the shutdown will reduce economic growth by approximately 1.5 percentage points in Q4, effectively halving the growth rate [2] - Despite a potential rebound of 2.2 percentage points in Q1 2024, there will be a permanent loss of about $11 billion in economic activity due to the shutdown [2] - Trade agreements have been signed with several Latin American countries to reduce tariffs on certain imports, such as coffee and fruits, reflecting the current economic environment [2] Group 3 - On Thursday, silver prices tested previous highs around $54.5 but experienced a significant drop to around $52 before rebounding, closing near $53 [3] - On Friday, silver prices surged in the last trading session, approaching the key resistance level of $54.40, with a dominant bullish trend [3] - Positive overlapping signals appeared on the relative strength index, indicating a potential bullish divergence after reaching oversold levels, further strengthening the bullish momentum [3]