AI+新质生产力：港股科技板块的四季度进攻逻辑

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the Hong Kong stock market in the fourth quarter presents both opportunities and challenges, with the technology sector becoming a key focus for aggressive investment due to the dual concepts of AI and "new productive forces" [1] - On the demand side, the user base for generative AI in China has experienced explosive growth, with local tech companies capturing the majority of market benefits [1] - On the supply side, leading technology firms in Hong Kong are evolving from mere application providers to builders of the industrial chain, covering various sectors including software and hardware, new energy vehicles, and innovative pharmaceuticals [1] Group 2 - In terms of capital flow, southbound funds have continued to flow in, with a net purchase amount exceeding 1.3 trillion HKD this year, leading to an increasing pricing power of domestic capital [2] - Valuation-wise, the technology sector is significantly undervalued compared to A-shares, and combined with the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut cycle and the resilience of the domestic economy, the Hong Kong technology sector is expected to achieve excess returns in the fourth quarter [2] - For ordinary investors, direct investment in individual stocks poses high barriers and risks, thus it is suggested to consider participating through related ETFs. The Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology ETF (159101) closely tracks the National Index of Hong Kong Stock Connect Technology, selecting 30 large-cap, high R&D investment tech leaders, with the top ten weighted stocks accounting for 7%, covering both internet giants like Tencent and Alibaba, as well as emerging players like Li Auto and BeiGene, thus comprehensively covering popular sectors of "software + hardware + new consumption + new energy vehicles" [2]