Zhong Guo Neng Yuan Wang·2025-11-17 02:22Core Viewpoint - The report from Guosen Securities highlights a positive outlook for the metal industry, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, driven by strong demand and ongoing policy support [2][3]. Industry Overview - In October, China's new energy vehicle production and sales reached 1.772 million and 1.715 million units, respectively, marking year-on-year increases of 21.1% and 20% [2][3]. - From January to October, cumulative production and sales of new energy vehicles totaled 13.015 million and 12.943 million units, reflecting year-on-year growth of 33.1% and 32.7% [2][3]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The supply side is seeing continuous product launches from battery and main engine manufacturers, with positive feedback from demand and supportive policies [2]. - The industry has experienced significant price declines, but the supply-demand balance is improving as companies optimize capacity and supply to stabilize prices [2][3]. Price Trends - The report indicates that prices in the industry are at a low point but are stabilizing and beginning to rise, particularly in segments like lithium carbonate, lithium hexafluorophosphate, and electrolyte, where demand is strong and supply is tight [2][3]. Investment Strategy - The report maintains a "recommended" rating for the new energy vehicle industry, emphasizing the selection of high-quality companies that are expected to deliver excess returns [3]. - Key investment directions include robotics, solid-state batteries, battery materials, and liquid cooling technologies [3][4]. Key Companies and Directions - Major materials companies identified include CATL, Shangtai Technology, and Hunan Youneng [4]. - New directions for investment include robotics (Zhejiang Rongtai), liquid cooling (Qiangrui Technology, Shenling Environment, Feirongda, Jieban Technology), and solid-state batteries (Shenzhen Xinxing, Haopeng Technology, Nakanor, Liyuanheng) [4]. Market Performance - The report notes the performance of various indices: the new energy vehicle index, lithium battery index, fuel cell index, charging pile index, and energy storage index showed varied weekly changes [5]. - Specific companies like Huasheng Lithium Battery and Haike New Source saw significant stock price increases, while others like XWanda and Kecuan Technology experienced declines [5]. Price Movements in Key Materials - Lithium carbonate prices increased by 6.0% to 85,200 CNY/ton, while lithium hydroxide rose by 1.3% to 76,500 CNY/ton [7]. - Other material prices such as nickel and cobalt showed mixed trends, with nickel decreasing by 1.3% to 14,700 USD/ton and cobalt increasing by 3.4% to 397,000 CNY/ton [7].