金鹰基金：聚焦科技核心主线 关注政策加码价值方向

Group 1 - The A-share market continues to experience fluctuations with significant sector differentiation, as the Shanghai Composite Index struggles around the 4000-point mark, indicating a high-level consolidation phase [1] - The market shows structural characteristics with consumer recovery leading the gains, defensive pharmaceutical stocks strengthening, and technology sectors under pressure, reflecting a trend of consumption > finance > cyclical > growth [1] - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market has risen to 2.04 trillion yuan, indicating increased trading activity despite a general decline in market participation [1] Group 2 - Economic data in China presents mixed signals, with October CPI turning positive year-on-year, but other indicators such as retail sales, fixed investment, and industrial value-added showing marginal weakness, suggesting that domestic economic momentum still requires policy support [2] - The U.S. government has ended its shutdown, but market sentiment remains cautious due to the absence of U.S. economic data, with the Federal Reserve maintaining a hawkish stance; this has led to short-term valuation pressure on U.S. tech stocks [2] - Looking ahead, there is a possibility of the Federal Reserve choosing to cut interest rates in December, supported by upcoming inflation and employment data, which could influence market dynamics [2] Group 3 - The investment strategy suggests a balanced approach to rapidly rotating market styles, focusing on core themes in technology while paying attention to domestic policy directions for value stocks [3] - Although cyclical and consumer sectors may face short-term performance pressures, current stock prices have largely reflected pessimistic mid-term expectations, indicating potential for valuation recovery [3] - The technology sector is expected to undergo a phase of capital pressure digestion, with short-term stagnation in pharmaceuticals and military industries potentially leading to a rotation towards technology, while mid-term focus remains on sectors with fundamental support such as overseas computing power, storage, consumer electronics, and wind energy storage [3]