日本经济收缩日元表现弱势
Jin Tou Wang·2025-11-17 03:50

Group 1 - The USD/JPY exchange rate is currently at 154.7300, with a slight increase of 0.12%, reflecting limited reaction to Japan's economic contraction in Q3, which was less severe than expected [1] - Japan's GDP contracted by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and 1.8% year-on-year, indicating insufficient economic momentum and leading to lowered expectations for the Bank of Japan's interest rate hikes [1] - The Japanese government is promoting a new round of fiscal stimulus to alleviate rising living costs, suggesting continued expansionary fiscal policy and a likely maintenance of loose monetary policy, which may hinder the yen's ability to gain interest rate advantages [1] Group 2 - From a technical perspective, the USD/JPY maintains a bullish structure in the short term, with clear resistance levels identified [2] - A strong rebound occurred from the 153.60 level, breaking through the 154.45-154.50 resistance zone, indicating potential for further upward movement if the 155.00 psychological level is breached [2] - The support level at 154.00 remains intact; however, a drop below 153.60 could shift the short-term bias to bearish, targeting the 152.10 range [2]