英科医疗(300677)：25Q3汇兑损益影响扣非 全球供应链优化计划稳步推进

Core Viewpoint - The global price of disposable gloves has rebounded from a low in 2024, with the factory price of nitrile gloves produced domestically expected to rise steadily by 2026 [1] - The company has initiated a global supply chain optimization plan to build overseas production bases covering major markets, reducing trade friction risks and enhancing risk resilience [1] - The company’s overseas production capacity is gradually being deployed, providing new growth momentum and further consolidating its global competitive position [1] - In the medium to long term, the global supply and demand for disposable gloves has reached a new balance, with the company’s cost, automation level, and manufacturing process significantly leading the industry [1] Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 7.425 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 924 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 484 million, representing year-on-year changes of +4.60%, +34.47%, and -19.32% respectively [2] - In Q3 2025, the company reported revenue of 2.511 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 214 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 84 million, with year-on-year changes of -2.90%, +113.04%, and -25.87% respectively [2][3] - The company’s gross profit margin for the first three quarters of 2025 was 23.70%, up 1.27 percentage points year-on-year; however, in Q3 2025, the gross profit margin was 22.66%, down 0.70 percentage points year-on-year and 1.63 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [3] Operational Efficiency - The company’s operational efficiency remained stable in Q3 2025, with total period expense ratio at 19.68%, up 1.84 percentage points year-on-year and 6.24 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [4] - The company’s operating cash flow for Q3 2025 was 361 million, a year-on-year increase of 64.84% [4] - As of the end of September 2025, the company had approximately 5.6 billion in net cash assets, showing little change from the end of 2024 [4] Market Outlook - The factory price of nitrile gloves is expected to rise steadily in 2026, supported by the company’s global supply chain optimization plan [5] - The company has accumulated rich experience in automated production line design, significantly reducing labor and energy consumption while maintaining high product quality [5] - The global disposable glove market has shown steady growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 8.2% from 2017 to 2022, and is expected to return to balance after a period of extreme supply-demand imbalance [6] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 10.1 billion, 12.3 billion, and 13.8 billion from 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.05%, 21.37%, and 12.35% respectively [7] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1.224 billion, 1.790 billion, and 2.154 billion for the same period, with year-on-year growth rates of -16.47%, 46.22%, and 20.32% respectively [7] - The company maintains a "buy" rating based on its strong cost control capabilities and global marketing network advantages [7]