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碳酸锂期货逼近涨停 锂电池板块掀涨停潮
Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-11-17 05:16

Core Viewpoint - The lithium carbonate futures contract LC2601 on the Shanghai Futures Exchange surged significantly, reaching a peak of 94,760 yuan/ton, with an increase of 8.50%, indicating strong market momentum and investor interest in lithium-related stocks [1] Group 1: Market Performance - Lithium battery concept stocks experienced a substantial rise, with Rongbai Technology hitting a 20% limit up, and several other stocks like Furui Shares, Shengxin Lithium Energy, and Rongjie Shares also reaching their daily limits [1] - Dazhi Futures analyst Zhang Tingyu predicts a strong supply-demand balance for lithium carbonate in 2026, with global supply expected to reach 2.078 million tons and demand at 1.977 million tons, indicating a significant improvement in the surplus compared to this year [1] Group 2: Price Trends and Forecasts - The bottom for lithium carbonate prices is believed to have been established in 2025, with expectations for a gradual upward trend in prices, although volatility is anticipated [1] - Key factors to monitor in the supply side for 2026 include the permit renewal issues at Jiangxi Mica Mine and the potential acceleration of previously stalled projects due to price increases [1] Group 3: Demand Considerations - On the demand side, the continuation of subsidies for electric vehicles and the sales performance of commercial vehicles, particularly heavy trucks, will be critical [1] - In the energy storage sector, policies in regions like Inner Mongolia and Ningxia are crucial, with expectations that the installed capacity for independent energy storage in 2026 will likely exceed forecasts [1]