研报掘金丨长江证券:维持交通银行“买入”评级,具备估值修复空间和弹性
Ge Long Hui A P P·2025-11-17 07:56

Core Viewpoint - State-owned banks are currently undergoing a systematic valuation repair process, with recent mid-term dividends accelerating the revaluation [1] Group 1: Valuation and Dividend Insights - Bank of Communications has the lowest PB valuation among state-owned banks in A-shares and the highest expected dividend yield for 2025, indicating potential for valuation recovery and elasticity [1] - The retail asset quality in the banking sector is under pressure, with Bank of Communications experiencing a quarter-on-quarter increase in retail loan non-performing loan (NPL) ratio, consistent with industry trends [1] Group 2: Financial Performance Metrics - The net interest margin (NIM) for the first three quarters of this year is 1.20%, with the cumulative decline since 2023 being the lowest among state-owned banks at only 8 basis points [1] - Given the current absolute value of NIM being the lowest among state-owned banks and the historically high cost of liabilities, there is significant room for improvement in future liability costs, which is expected to support NIM stabilization and drive ROE towards the average of state-owned banks [1] Group 3: Investment Recommendation - The company is optimistic about the driving force of allocation pushing for valuation recovery and maintains a "buy" rating [1]