智通财经网·2025-11-17 08:27Core Viewpoint - The report from China Merchants Securities International raises the target price for Tencent Holdings (00700) by 9% to HKD 766, maintaining a "Buy" rating, driven by improved earnings forecasts and operational efficiencies from AI [1] Financial Projections - Tencent's revenue is projected to grow by 14% and 10% year-on-year for the fiscal years 2025 and 2026, respectively [1] - Non-IFRS net profit is expected to increase by 17% and 15% year-on-year for the same periods [1] Valuation Metrics - The forecasted price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for Tencent in fiscal years 2025 and 2026 is 21x and 19x, respectively, which is above the average by +1 standard deviation [1] - In comparison, the P/E ratios for Chinese peers are 17x and 15x, while U.S. peers are at 28x for both years [1] Growth Drivers - The report highlights several growth drivers for Tencent, including strong community network advantages, AI technology, commercialization of AI products, advertising, and overseas opportunities [1] - AI-driven efficiency improvements are expected to enhance profit margins, contributing to potential upside in earnings and valuation [1] Risks Identified - Key risks mentioned include macroeconomic factors, consumer behavior, regulatory challenges, competition, and product pipeline issues [1]