永创智能(603901)：利润逐季度改善 静待新品放量

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 2.958 billion yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 19.05% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders reached 127 million yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 61.17% [1] - The non-recurring net profit attributable to shareholders was 119 million yuan, also showing a growth of 61.13% year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - Revenue for Q1-Q3 was 890 million, 1.011 billion, and 1.057 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 7%, 18%, and 32% respectively [2] - Net profit for the same periods was 41 million, 41 million, and 45 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 6%, 36%, and 340% respectively [2] - Non-recurring net profit figures were 40 million, 36 million, and 43 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of -22%, -1%, and 398% respectively [2] - Gross margin slightly decreased by 0.08 percentage points to 27.71% [2] - The expense ratio decreased by 1.82 percentage points to 20.93%, with sales expense ratio down by 0.42 percentage points to 7.19% and management expense ratio down by 0.89 percentage points to 5.31% [2] Order Backlog and Product Development - Contract liabilities increased to 2.138 billion yuan, showing significant growth compared to the previous quarter and the same period last year, indicating a solid order backlog [2] - The company is investing in new flexible sterile and ultra-clean intelligent packaging production lines for liquid foods, including high-speed sterile paper box and plastic bottle filling lines [3] - A new humanoid robot R&D department has been established to accelerate the development of humanoid robots and their application in packaging technology [3] Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected revenues for 2025-2027 are 3.936 billion, 4.501 billion, and 4.782 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 10.35%, 14.34%, and 6.26% respectively [4] - Expected net profits for the same periods are 161 million, 262 million, and 305 million yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 930.80%, 63.40%, and 16.18% respectively [4] - The corresponding PE valuations for 2025-2027 are 39.75, 24.33, and 20.94, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]