刚刚 黄金直线跳水！国内金饰价格已三连跌

Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in gold prices have led to a decline in domestic gold jewelry prices, with significant drops observed since November 14, 2023 [1][2] Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Spot gold prices fell sharply, dropping by 0.8% to $4063.73 per ounce as of the report [1] - Domestic gold jewelry prices have seen consecutive declines, with notable reductions in prices for brands such as Lao Miao and Zhou Dafu [1][2] Group 2: Bank Adjustments - Commercial banks are adjusting the minimum investment amounts for gold accumulation products, with Citic Bank raising the minimum from 1000 yuan to 1500 yuan starting November 15, 2025 [3] - Other banks, including Bank of China and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, have also increased their minimum purchase amounts for gold accumulation products [3] Group 3: Market Analysis - Analysts attribute the recent gold price decline to a temporary easing of U.S. government shutdown risks and a decrease in safe-haven demand [3] - The probability of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve has dropped significantly, contributing to the pressure on gold prices [3] Group 4: Long-term Outlook - Despite short-term volatility, many institutions maintain a long-term bullish outlook on gold, with UBS predicting a potential peak of $5000 per ounce between 2026 and 2027 [4] - Citigroup presents multiple scenarios for gold prices, suggesting a 30% probability of a bull market pushing prices to $6000 per ounce by the end of 2027 [4][5] - Citigroup also indicates a 50% probability of a price correction to $3650 per ounce in 2026, and a 20% probability of a bear market scenario leading to prices around $3000 per ounce [5]