Yahoo Finance·2025-11-17 08:00Core Insights - Significant vehicle recalls in the U.S. are creating near-term earnings and operational challenges for car rental operators, potentially delaying margin recovery due to fleet modernization strategies being undermined [1][3] Vehicle Recalls - The U.S. Department of Transportation reported approximately 9.8 million vehicle recalls in Q3 2025, the highest level since early 2024 [2] - Ford accounted for around 55% of the affected units during the quarter, with increased vehicle complexity and supply chain interdependencies contributing to the challenges faced by rental operators [3] Operational Impact - Rental operators are disproportionately affected due to reliance on recently manufactured vehicles, with Avis reporting 5% of its Americas fleet under recall compared to Hertz's 2% [5] - Two-thirds of Avis's recalled vehicles were awaiting parts, which reduced utilization and increased fleet costs, while Hertz achieved a utilization rate of 84% in the quarter [5] Financial Guidance and Market Conditions - Both Hertz and Avis have lowered guidance due to recall uncertainty, government shutdown impacts, and system outages [6] - Fitch suggested that recall-driven supply constraints may support pricing discipline, potentially offsetting revenue pressures, with expectations for EBITDA margins to return to single-digit levels in 2026 [6] Liquidity Position - Hertz reported $2.2 billion in corporate liquidity at the end of Q3, while Avis held $1 billion, both supported by vehicle borrowing capacity [7] - Avis faces no corporate refinancing until July 2027, while Hertz has $500 million in senior unsecured notes maturing in December 2026, partially addressed through a $375 million exchangeable notes issuance in September 2025 [7]