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国联民生证券:双十一家电行业韧性收官 龙头优势地位巩固
智通财经网·2025-11-17 09:17

Core Viewpoint - The home appliance industry demonstrated resilience during the 2025 Double Eleven shopping festival, with nearly 60% of consumers in first- and second-tier markets opting for new trend appliances that integrate AI features, indicating a shift in consumer preferences and a stable market outlook supported by policy and structural benefits [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Double Eleven event concluded with resilient growth in the home appliance sector, driven by promotional discounts and the recovery of policy funding, which is expected to support demand for essential appliances and structural upgrades [1]. - Major brands like Midea and Haier maintained strong performance, with Midea's COLMO suite sales increasing over 40% and Haier's suite sales exceeding 4 billion [2]. - The younger demographic is increasingly engaging with these brands, with Midea seeing over 50% growth in young consumers and Haier's Z-generation audience growing by 38% [2]. Group 2: Export Trends - There are signs of improvement in overseas sales for leading home appliance companies, despite high baseline pressures, with some companies showing sequential improvements in their international business [3]. - The positive developments in US-China trade negotiations at the end of October are expected to enhance global operations for leading brands, facilitating inventory clearance and potential export recovery [3]. - The penetration of smart appliances in overseas markets continues to grow, indicating a structural upturn in demand [3]. Group 3: Investment Outlook - The home appliance sector is expected to maintain a "stronger than market" rating, with limited pressure on domestic sales and a gradual recovery in exports anticipated [4]. - The overall valuation of the appliance sector has returned to historical low levels, presenting investment opportunities, particularly in high-quality companies with strong dividend yields [4]. - Recommended stocks include Midea Group, Haier Smart Home, Hisense Home Appliances, and Gree Electric, among others, which are expected to benefit from their competitive advantages and market positioning [4].