欧盟称今年前三季度经济增长超过预期

Core Insights - The European Union's economic growth in the first three quarters of the year exceeded expectations, driven by a surge in exports [1] - The EU and Eurozone economic growth forecasts for 2025 have been revised upward compared to the previous spring report, while 2026 forecasts have been slightly downgraded [1][2] - Inflation rates are expected to decline, with the Eurozone's average inflation rate projected to drop to 2.1% by 2025 [1] Economic Growth Projections - The EU's economic growth is projected to be 1.4% in 2025 and 1.4% in 2026, while the Eurozone is expected to grow by 1.3% in 2025 and 1.2% in 2026 [1] - Compared to the spring report, the growth forecast for the EU in 2025 was increased from 1.1% to 1.4%, and for the Eurozone from 0.9% to 1.3% [1] Inflation Expectations - The report anticipates a continued decline in inflation, with the Eurozone's average inflation rate expected to be around 2% in 2026 and 2027 [1] - The EU's inflation rate is projected to decrease to 2.2% by 2027 [1] Fiscal Outlook - The report indicates that the fiscal deficit of EU member states is expected to rise from 3.1% of GDP in 2024 to 3.4% in 2027, with debt as a percentage of GDP increasing from 84.5% to 85% in the same period [2] - By 2027, it is projected that four member states will have a debt-to-GDP ratio exceeding 100% [2] Recommendations for Growth - The EU is urged to take decisive actions to unlock internal growth potential, including simplifying regulations, enhancing the single market, and promoting innovation to improve competitiveness [2]