Here's Why AeroVironment (AVAV) Fell More Than Broader Market

Core Viewpoint - AeroVironment (AVAV) has experienced a significant decline in stock price, with a recent trading session closing at $283.66, reflecting a -2.59% change from the previous day, and a 16.94% loss over the past month, underperforming both the Aerospace sector and the S&P 500 [1][2]. Financial Performance - The upcoming earnings report for AeroVironment is anticipated to show earnings per share (EPS) of $0.87, which represents an 85.11% increase year-over-year. Revenue is projected to be $480.86 million, indicating a 155.15% increase compared to the same quarter last year [2]. - For the full year, the Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $3.63 per share and revenue of $2.01 billion, reflecting increases of +10.67% and +145.48% respectively from the prior year [3]. Analyst Sentiment - Recent changes in analyst estimates for AeroVironment are crucial as they often indicate shifts in near-term business trends. Positive changes in estimates suggest analyst optimism regarding the company's business and profitability [3][4]. Valuation Metrics - AeroVironment currently has a Forward P/E ratio of 80.17, significantly higher than the industry average of 34.45, suggesting that the company is trading at a premium [6]. - The company also holds a PEG ratio of 4.11, compared to the industry average PEG ratio of 2.37, indicating a higher valuation relative to its expected earnings growth [7]. Industry Context - The Aerospace - Defense Equipment industry, which includes AeroVironment, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 162, placing it in the bottom 35% of over 250 industries. This ranking reflects the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks within the industry [8].