Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-18 00:14Core Viewpoint - The report from GF Securities indicates that under neutral conditions, the inflation center in 2026 is expected to rise compared to 2025, influenced by several factors [1] Group 1: Inflation Factors - The probability of the pig cycle entering a recovery phase in 2026 is relatively high [1] - The most significant capacity pressure in key industries has passed, and current prices are showing a certain lag in reflection [1] - The impact of "anti-involution" policies is gradually accumulating [1] Group 2: Real Estate Market - The primary constraint on inflation is that real estate sales prices have not yet stabilized [1] - A clear stabilization in this area is necessary for the market to price in re-inflation more decisively [1]