新泉股份(603179)2025Q3业绩点评:Q3业绩承压 机器人加速布局
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-18 00:25

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of approximately 11.41 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, an increase of 18.83% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was about 623 million yuan, a decrease of 9.19% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Q3 Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.95 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.9% and a year-on-year increase of 0.4%, although the revenue growth was weak due to pressure on core customers' production [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders in Q3 2025 was 200 million yuan, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 27.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% [2] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 was 15.6%, down 5.7 percentage points year-on-year and 1.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, while the net profit margin was 5.1%, down 2.9 percentage points year-on-year and 0.2 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 2: Business Dynamics - The company is experiencing pressure on profitability due to intensified competition in the automotive industry, initial stage of seat business layout, and upfront investments in new companies in the U.S. and Germany diluting profits [2] - The company’s expense ratio for Q3 2025 was 10.8%, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 0.9 percentage points and an increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year, primarily due to optimization in sales and financial expenses [2] Group 3: Growth Opportunities - The company is focusing on enhancing its overseas supply share, with the launch of the Tesla Model Y simplified version expected to boost demand in Q4, alongside anticipated volume increases from Chery and Model Y domestically [3] - The seating business is being accelerated to create a vertically integrated enterprise, with ongoing improvements in profitability and the potential to become a third growth driver for the company [3] - The establishment of a new intelligent robotics company indicates a strategic move into the robotics sector, with strong business relationships with Tesla expected to drive growth in this area [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook - The company forecasts net profits attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 919 million yuan, 1.38 billion yuan, and 1.73 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 36.17X, 24.08X, and 19.20X, maintaining a "buy" rating [3]