Hinde Group Q3 2025 Partner Letter
Seeking Alpha·2025-11-18 01:25

Core Insights - The portfolio of 1578 Partners, LP outperformed the S&P 500 in Q3 2025, with a gross return of 14.37% compared to the S&P 500's 8.12% [3][4] - The generative AI investment boom is a significant driver of economic stability and stock market performance amid political and economic uncertainties, with major tech companies planning to invest over $300 billion in AI infrastructure in 2025 [5][6] - Becton, Dickinson and Company (BDX) is highlighted as a new investment opportunity, with a strong market position and a significant upcoming transaction expected to unlock shareholder value [12][19] Portfolio Performance - The portfolio's year-to-date performance is 36.44%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's 14.83% [3][4] - Key contributors to the portfolio's performance include Interactive Brokers Group, which rose 24.2%, and Alphabet, which increased by 37.3% during the quarter [7][9] - The portfolio composition at the end of the quarter was 93.9% equities and 6.1% cash, with a new position initiated in BDX [11][12] Investment in Becton, Dickinson and Company - BDX is a global medical technology company with annual revenues exceeding $21 billion, known for its essential medical products [13][14] - The company is undergoing a significant transaction to divest its Biosciences & Diagnostics Solutions businesses, which will provide $4 billion in cash and shares valued at approximately $18.8 billion to shareholders [16][17] - The divestiture is expected to enhance BDX's valuation, with projections suggesting a fair value of around $300 per share post-transaction [19][20] Market Context - Despite economic challenges, the S&P 500 showed resilience, gaining 2.0% to 3.0% each month during Q3 2025 [4][6] - Financial markets exhibit low credit spreads and high confidence in the economic outlook, with expectations for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates [6][20] - The investment landscape is characterized by a focus on AI and technology, with venture capital firms investing heavily in AI startups, totaling $192.7 billion in 2025 [5][6]