Firefly's a Buy After Doubling Sales in Q3

Core Viewpoint - Firefly Aerospace's stock has rebounded significantly after a period of decline, with a notable increase in sales and future growth potential, despite ongoing losses and rising costs [1][3][6]. Financial Performance - Firefly Aerospace reported Q3 2025 sales of $30.8 million, a 98% increase from Q2 2025 and a 38% increase from Q3 2024 [3]. - The company raised its fiscal 2025 sales guidance to between $150 million and $158 million, surpassing Wall Street's forecast of $135.5 million [5]. Cost and Loss Analysis - The cost of sales increased by 53% year-over-year, while research and development spending grew by 63%, and selling, general, and administrative expenses more than doubled [6]. - Operating losses increased by 82%, with net losses for the quarter tripling to $133.4 million [6]. Share Dilution and Stock Valuation - The share count increased over sevenfold to 93.8 million shares, resulting in per-share losses of $1.50, down more than half from the previous year [7]. - Firefly's stock is currently trading at about 7 times sales, significantly lower than its previous valuation of nearly 50 times sales [12][13]. Future Growth Potential - The acquisition of defense contractor SciTec is expected to enhance Firefly's revenue potential, with analysts projecting up to $446 million in revenue for 2026 [11][13]. - The stock's valuation is now more attractive post-acquisition and earnings report, suggesting a potential buying opportunity for investors [14].