Zheng Quan Shi Bao Wang·2025-11-18 03:41Core Viewpoint - The recent volatility in the prices of upstream raw materials, such as polysilicon, has led listed companies in the new energy sector to increase their participation in the futures market significantly, recognizing the importance of price risk management [2][3]. Group 1: Increase in Hedging Activities - In October alone, 458 listed companies announced hedging-related activities, a 2.3-fold increase compared to the same period in 2024, indicating a growing awareness of price risk management [2][3]. - Companies like JinkoSolar and EVE Energy have significantly raised their hedging limits, with JinkoSolar increasing its margin requirements from 660 million yuan to 1.5 billion yuan, and EVE Energy raising its limits from 350 million yuan to 1 billion yuan [3]. - The trend suggests that the number of companies participating in hedging activities is expected to exceed 2,000 by the end of the year [2][7]. Group 2: Polysilicon Price Volatility - Polysilicon prices have experienced significant fluctuations, dropping from 56,000 yuan per ton at the beginning of the year to 34,400 yuan per ton by the end of June, a decline of 38.6% [4]. - Following a rebound driven by "anti-involution" policies, polysilicon prices rose to 47,100 yuan per ton by the end of July, marking a 36.9% increase within a month [4]. - The futures market for polysilicon saw a record high of 57,945 yuan per ton on September 5, reflecting a 91% increase from late June [4]. Group 3: Industry Dynamics and Strategies - The "anti-involution" policy has created an uneven benefit distribution across the supply chain, with upstream polysilicon prices rising first before impacting downstream sectors like silicon wafers and battery cells [6]. - The domestic polysilicon production is projected to be around 382,000 tons in Q4, a slight increase of 3% year-on-year, while the total production for 2025 is expected to drop by 27.3% to approximately 1.34 million tons [6]. - Analysts emphasize the importance of differentiated strategies and risk control for companies, suggesting that production firms should focus on selling hedges, while downstream companies should engage in buying hedges [5][6]. Group 4: Market Participation and Trends - The number of A-share listed companies involved in hedging activities has surged, with 312 companies publishing 473 hedging-related announcements in October, a year-on-year increase of 231.91% [7]. - Overall, 1,737 A-share listed companies have reported hedging activities in the first ten months of the year, reflecting a 15.6% increase compared to the previous year [7]. - The electronics, basic chemicals, and power equipment sectors have the highest number of companies participating in hedging, with participation rates exceeding 40% in several industries [7].