Huan Qiu Wang·2025-11-18 03:39Core Viewpoint - The renewable energy industry is undergoing a significant pressure test due to drastic fluctuations in upstream raw material prices, particularly polysilicon, which has seen a dramatic price drop followed by a rapid rebound, leading to a survival competition among companies focused on risk management [1][2]. Group 1: Price Fluctuations and Industry Impact - Polysilicon prices fell from 56,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of 2025 to 34,400 yuan/ton by the end of June, a decline of nearly 40%, resulting in six consecutive quarters of deep losses for the industry [1]. - Following a policy push for healthy competition, prices rebounded sharply, increasing by 36.9% within a month, with futures prices reaching a new high in September [1]. Group 2: Increased Reliance on Hedging Tools - Major companies in the renewable energy sector are significantly increasing their hedging limits, indicating a strong commitment to risk mitigation [2]. - JinkoSolar announced an increase in its futures hedging margin limit from 660 million yuan to 1.5 billion yuan, with a maximum contract value of 10.3 billion yuan [2]. - EVE Energy raised its commodity hedging margin and premium limits from 350 million yuan to 1 billion yuan, with maximum contract values increasing from 3.5 billion yuan to 8.5 billion yuan [2]. Group 3: Broader Market Trends - The trend of embracing futures markets is not limited to the renewable energy sector but is becoming a consensus among listed companies in China, with 458 companies announcing hedging activities in October 2025, a 2.3-fold increase from the previous year [3]. - A total of 1,737 A-share listed companies participated in hedging activities in the first ten months of the year, a year-on-year increase of 15.6% [3]. - Manufacturing sectors such as electronics, basic chemicals, and power equipment are the main participants, with over 50% participation from industries like non-ferrous metals and home appliances [3].