日本股市继续大跌

Market Reaction - The Japanese stock market experienced significant volatility, with the Nikkei 225 index opening down 1.02% and later dropping over 2.5%, falling below 49,000 points, marking a near one-month low [1] - The Japanese yen fell to 155.38 against the US dollar, the lowest level in a year, while the 30-year and 20-year Japanese government bond yields rose by 7 basis points to 3.325% and 2.810%, respectively [1] Impact on Tourism and Retail Sectors - The tourism sector was severely impacted following provocative remarks by Prime Minister Sanna Takashi, leading to a warning from China's Ministry of Culture and Tourism advising Chinese tourists to avoid Japan [2][3] - Major companies in the tourism and retail sectors saw significant stock declines, with Isetan Mitsukoshi Holdings dropping over 10%, Shiseido down more than 9%, and FOOD&LIFE COMPANIES falling over 14% [3] Economic Forecast and Implications - The reduction in Chinese tourists is expected to have a substantial negative impact on Japan's economy, with estimates suggesting a potential loss of approximately 2.2 trillion yen (about 101.16 billion yuan) in tourism revenue, which could reduce Japan's GDP by 0.36% [4] - The overall economic situation is concerning, as Japan's GDP contracted by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter and 1.8% year-on-year, marking the first negative growth in six quarters [5][6] - Japan's reliance on China as its largest trading partner is highlighted, with trade totals projected at $308.3 billion for 2024, emphasizing the critical nature of this relationship for Japan's economic stability [6]