东北证券:首予粤港湾控股(01396)“买入”评级 转型“数字生态运营商”
智通财经网·2025-11-18 08:43

Core Viewpoint - Northeast Securities has initiated a "buy" rating for Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Holdings (01396), highlighting its successful entry into the AI computing sector through acquisitions, marking a strategic upgrade from a traditional real estate developer to a "digital ecosystem operator" [1] Group 1: Strategic Transformation - The company is positioned as a new type of "urban and industrial ecological service provider" deeply rooted in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area, focusing on residential and urban renewal projects [1] - The strategic transformation from a traditional real estate developer to an "urban and industrial ecological service provider" has been ongoing, with a significant acquisition planned for October 23, 2025, to convert idle factory and land resources into high-performance computing centers [1][2] Group 2: Major Acquisition - On October 23, the company announced the completion of its acquisition of Wisdom Knight Holdings Limited for a total price of HKD 977 million, which controls Shenzhen Tiandun Data Technology Co., Ltd., a leading operator in AI computing and green energy computing services in China [2] Group 3: Business Model and Financial Health - The traditional business has become a driver for growth, with the company achieving a 98.33% approval rate for a USD 440 million debt-to-equity swap, significantly reducing its interest-bearing debt ratio from 45% to 7% [3] - The dual business model of Tiandun Data, focusing on "multi-source computing power services + AIDC construction operations," has been commercially validated, enhancing operational efficiency and profitability [3] Group 4: New Growth Opportunities - The "green energy computing" model developed by Tiandun Data aligns perfectly with the company's urban development capabilities, transforming idle resources into high-performance computing centers and fundamentally changing the profitability logic of traditional industries [4] - The influx of high-value B-end resources from major cloud service providers and leading AI companies opens up new growth avenues for the company, enhancing its revenue structure and resilience against risks [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - The company is projected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of RMB 718 million, RMB 579 million, and RMB 789 million for 2025-2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of +139.13%, -19.41%, and +36.41%, respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 9x, 11x, and 8x [5]