债市日报:11月18日
Xin Hua Cai Jing·2025-11-18 08:52

Core Viewpoint - The bond market continues to show strength, with government bond futures rising across the board, indicating a stable demand for long-term bonds over short-term ones [1][2]. Market Performance - Government bond futures closed higher, with the 30-year main contract up 0.06% at 116.53, the 10-year contract up 0.03% at 108.5, the 5-year contract up 0.03% at 105.92, and the 2-year contract up 0.01% at 102.49 [2]. - The interbank market showed mixed performance in major interest rate bonds, with the 30-year government bond yield down 0.35 basis points to 2.136% and the 10-year policy bank bond yield down 0.2 basis points to 1.866% [2]. International Market Trends - In North America, U.S. Treasury yields were mixed, with the 2-year yield up 0.63 basis points to 3.608% and the 10-year yield down 0.78 basis points to 4.137% [3]. - In Asia, Japanese bond yields saw a rise in the long-term segment, with the 10-year yield up 1.7 basis points to 1.746% [4]. Primary Market - The China Development Bank's financial bonds had successful bids with yields of 1.5240% for 2-year, 1.7081% for 5-year, and 1.8859% for 10-year bonds, indicating strong demand with bid-to-cover ratios of 2.82, 3.16, and 3.7 respectively [5]. Funding Conditions - The central bank conducted a 4075 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation at a fixed rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net injection of 37 billion yuan for the day [6]. - Short-term Shibor rates mostly increased, with the overnight rate rising by 1.7 basis points to 1.525% [6]. Institutional Insights - Citic Securities noted that the banking system's liabilities are relatively stable, and the reliance on bond allocation through the financial market remains high, providing solid support for the bond market [7]. - Huatai Securities highlighted that the tightening supply of convertible bonds has led to increased valuations, suggesting a shift towards quality new bonds or underlying stocks for investors [8].