金固股份(002488):25Q3盈利能力同比改善 低碳车轮产能布局提速

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a revenue of 3.086 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.91%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 42 million yuan, up 29.77% year-on-year [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 963 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.61% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 22.09%. The comprehensive gross margin was 17.38%, up 9.93 percentage points year-on-year and 6.09 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q3 was 12 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.65%, with a corresponding net profit margin of 2.44%, up 1.22 percentage points year-on-year and 2.24 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [2] Group 2: Product Development and Sales - The sales of the Avatar low-carbon wheels have significantly increased, with a 44% year-on-year growth in product sales during Q3, and a remarkable 93% year-on-year increase in Avatar product sales [3] - To alleviate the production capacity constraints of high-margin Avatar low-carbon wheels, the company is converting some traditional wheel production lines into dedicated lines for Avatar low-carbon wheels [3] Group 3: Strategic Expansion - The company is set to launch its overseas factory, with the Thailand Avatar low-carbon wheel factory expected to commence production in early 2026. This is anticipated to drive international business growth alongside domestic operations [4] - The company is actively pursuing applications for materials like Avatar niobium micro-alloy in emerging fields such as intelligent robots and low-altitude aircraft, with structural components already provided to Zhiyuan Robotics for mass production within the year [4] Group 4: Investment Strategy - The company forecasts revenues of 3.767 billion, 5.697 billion, and 7.284 billion yuan for 2025-2027, with net profits of 63 million, 261 million, and 421 million yuan respectively. The current stock price corresponds to PE ratios of 154.24, 37.0, and 23.0 times [5]