Mei Ri Shang Bao·2025-11-18 11:25Core Viewpoint - The international gold and silver prices have continued to decline, with spot gold dropping below $4000 per ounce and spot silver falling below $50 per ounce, marking a significant downturn in precious metals markets [1][2]. Price Movements - As of November 18, spot gold prices fell to $4011 per ounce, a decrease of 1.55%, while spot silver prices in New York dropped by 2.53% to $49 [2][6]. - The decline in gold prices has led to a reduction in domestic gold jewelry prices, with major brands like Chow Sang Sang and Lao Feng Xiang reporting consecutive price drops [5][6]. Market Impact - The continuous drop in gold prices has negatively affected gold-related stocks in both A-shares and Hong Kong markets, with significant declines observed in companies such as Hainan Mining and Yuguang Gold Lead [7][9]. - The gold concept sector in A-shares saw a decline of over 2%, with multiple stocks experiencing drops exceeding 5% [7][9]. Economic Factors - The recent hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials have influenced market expectations regarding interest rate cuts, with the probability of a December rate cut dropping from approximately 90% to 43% [6][10]. - The strengthening of the US dollar, driven by these hawkish signals, has put additional pressure on precious metals [10]. Demand Trends - Despite the current price decline, global gold investment demand surged by 47% year-on-year in Q3, totaling 537 tons, driven by geopolitical uncertainties and a weakening dollar [12]. - Central banks globally have increased their gold purchases, with a net acquisition of 220 tons in Q3, reflecting a continued trend of diversifying reserves to hedge against risks [12][11].