【环球财经】欧盟委员会下调乌克兰2025年GDP增速预期至1.6%

Core Insights - The European Commission's autumn economic forecast indicates that Ukraine's GDP growth is expected to decline from 2% to 1.6% due to ongoing attacks on key energy infrastructure and a decrease in agricultural output [1] - The prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict is causing supply chain disruptions and labor shortages, leading to a projected GDP growth decline to 1.5% by 2026 [1] - Inflation in Ukraine has seen a rebound, with a year-on-year increase of 11.9% as of September, and the weighted average inflation rate is expected to rise from 6.5% last year to 13.1% this year [1] - Despite an increase in military tax rates, Ukraine's fiscal deficit is projected to rise to 23.8% of GDP this year due to defense procurement and military personnel salary expenditures outpacing revenue growth [1] Economic Projections - Ukraine's defense and security spending is expected to remain high, with a forecasted fiscal deficit narrowing to 21.2% of GDP next year due to measures like enhanced customs management and increased bank income tax rates [2]