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华泰证券石油化工2026年度展望:新周期渐启 新领域纷呈
Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-19 00:17

Core Viewpoint - Huatai Securities forecasts that the oil and chemical industry will face short-term pressure on supply and demand, but a recovery point for bulk commodities is expected, with new materials and technologies emerging as highlights [1] Oil Market Outlook - Since Q4 2025, OPEC+ production increases may lead to a relaxed supply situation, but medium to long-term oil prices are expected to have bottom support [1] - Leading companies are focusing on cost reduction and volume increase strategies [1] Chemical Industry Insights - Capital expenditure growth in the chemical raw materials and products sector has shown signs of a turning point since H2 2025 [1] - Improvement in domestic demand combined with export support is anticipated in 2026, with supply optimization aided by trends like "anti-involution" [1] - High-quality chemical assets with global competitive advantages may see a revaluation [1] Specialty Chemicals and Fine Chemicals - Improvement in downstream demand and recovery of profit margins are occurring simultaneously, driven by exports and international expansion [1] Emerging Technologies and Materials - Under the guidance of policies and industry trends, innovation in new materials related to AI, new energy, and robotics is expected to accelerate [1] - Emerging technologies such as biomanufacturing are likely to develop more rapidly [1]