印度进口利润较好 预计短期内棕榈油盘面震荡走强

Core Viewpoint - Palm oil futures are showing a strong performance, with the main contract rising by 1.66% to 8832.00 yuan/ton as of the report date [1] Group 1: Inventory and Import Data - As of the end of week 46 in 2025, domestic palm oil inventory totaled 574,000 tons, an increase of 22,000 tons from the previous week [2] - The contract volume for palm oil is 43,000 tons, up by 1,000 tons compared to last week [2] - In October, China's palm oil imports were 220,000 tons, a year-on-year decline of 11.7%, while the cumulative imports from January to October reached 1.96 million tons, down 15.3% year-on-year [2] - The EU's palm oil import volume for 2025/26 is projected at 1.08 million tons, compared to 1.32 million tons last year [2] Group 2: Market Analysis and Outlook - According to Ningzheng Futures, the decline in October palm oil imports is attributed to shipping delays, leading to a significant increase in domestic supply and inventory in November [3] - Copper Crown Jinyuan Futures notes that market sentiment is affected by fears in the macro environment, with U.S. stock markets weakening and awaiting key economic data and tech earnings reports [3] - The U.S. biodiesel policy may exceed market expectations, contributing to an increase in soybean oil prices, which in turn supports domestic oil prices [3] - India's declining oilseed inventory suggests potential rigid demand for imports, indicating a bullish outlook for palm oil in the short term [3]