智通财经网·2025-11-19 06:16Core Insights - The wind turbine industry is experiencing a slowdown in the trend of larger turbine units due to resource and production constraints, leading to a deceleration in power growth [1][3] - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers is shifting towards the downstream segment of wind farm development, with a significant increase in the profit share from project development during the 14th Five-Year Plan [2] Industry Trends - The trend of turbine large-scale production is facing limitations, resulting in a decrease in the growth rate of power output. The industry is currently experiencing losses due to low turbine prices, leading to a market cleanup [3] - The market concentration in the wind turbine industry is increasing, with the CR5 rising from 65.0% to 75.0% and CR10 from 91.4% to 98.6% from 2020 to 2024 [3] Price and Profitability - Wind turbine prices have stopped declining and are expected to rise, with a projected 10% increase in prices from January to August 2025. The industry is anticipated to face a cyclical surge in demand [4] - The average bid price for land-based turbines has reached a low point but has been increasing for four consecutive quarters, indicating a potential turning point for profitability in 2026 [4] Domestic Demand - The domestic wind power installation is expected to average over 100 GW annually during the 15th Five-Year Plan, with significant contributions from large base projects and offshore wind [5] - The overall cost of wind power generation remains competitive, and the market is likely to favor wind energy development in the coming years [5] International Market Opportunities - The European offshore wind market is projected to see significant growth, with an expected average addition of 8 GW annually from 2026 to 2030 [6] - The emerging markets in Asia, Africa, and Latin America are anticipated to double their installation growth rates, with a projected CAGR of approximately 16% over the next five years [6] - Domestic wind turbine manufacturers are increasingly entering overseas markets, with a projected market share of 32% in Asia, Africa, and Latin America by 2024 [6] Investment Recommendations - Companies to watch include Goldwind Technology (002202.SZ), Mingyang Smart Energy (601615.SH), Yunda Co., Ltd. (300772.SZ), and SANY Renewable Energy (688349.SH) [7]