NAIPU MINING(SZ:300818) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-19 08:36Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant decline in revenue and net profit for the first three quarters of 2025, but showed improvement in Q3 with increased orders and revenue growth [1][2]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company achieved revenue of 714 million, a decrease of 22.46% year-on-year; net profit attributable to shareholders was 62 million, down 48.07%; and net profit excluding non-recurring items was 55 million, down 52.49% [1]. - In Q3 2025, the company recorded revenue of 301 million and net profit of 46 million, representing year-on-year increases of 2.18% and 26.31%, respectively, and quarter-on-quarter increases of 37.44% and 301.72% [2]. Order Growth - The total contract signing amount for the first three quarters of 2025 increased by 32.21% year-on-year, with domestic contracts growing by 11.72% and international contracts by 51.44% [2]. - In Q3 2025, the contract signing amount increased by 80.42% year-on-year, with domestic growth of 48.31% and international growth of 114.30% [2]. Product Development - The company is promoting its new forged composite lining board, which has five advantages over traditional metal linings: improved mill efficiency, reduced energy consumption, longer lifespan, stable operation, and enhanced ease of installation [2]. - The forged composite lining board has been successfully trialed in several projects, and the company plans to improve its performance and lifespan based on usage feedback for a broader global rollout next year [2]. Global Expansion - The company is building factories in Chile and Peru, with the Chilean factory nearly completed and awaiting government approval for production [2]. - Once both factories are fully operational, the company expects to achieve a global production capacity of 2.5 to 3 billion [2]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 1 billion, 1.26 billion, and 1.57 billion, with year-on-year growth rates of -10.80%, 25.73%, and 24.87% respectively [3]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 103 million, 161 million, and 240 million, with year-on-year growth rates of -11.18%, 56.06%, and 48.49% respectively [3]. - The corresponding PE valuations for 2025-2027 are 50.93, 32.64, and 21.98, maintaining a "buy" rating [3].