Shang Hai Zheng Quan Bao·2025-11-19 10:38Core Viewpoint - The aquaculture sector in China is experiencing a significant surge, with multiple stocks reaching their daily limit up, driven by market dynamics and anticipated recovery in the industry by 2025 [1] Industry Summary - The aquaculture sector saw a rapid increase in stock prices, with Guolian Aquatic reaching its daily limit up, alongside other companies like Kaichuang International and Zhongshui Fishery also hitting their limits [1] - Concerns over deteriorating Sino-Japanese relations may impact Japan's economy, which is a key trading partner for China in agricultural products, particularly in aquatic products and high-end fruits and vegetables [1] - Long-term trade relations between China and Japan in the aquatic product sector are under scrutiny, with potential implications for market dynamics [1] Price Trends - According to Longjiang Securities, the Chinese aquaculture industry is expected to recover significantly by 2025, with major aquatic product prices projected to rise to historical highs [1] - Specific price data indicates that the price of grass carp has reached 14 yuan per kilogram, a 25% increase from the beginning of the year [1] - Prices for specialty aquatic products such as California bass and yellow catfish have also surged to 22.1 yuan per pound and 15.8 yuan per pound, respectively, both surpassing the highest levels recorded since 2021 [1] - The report suggests that this price recovery is a natural outcome following two years of inventory digestion in 2023-2024 [1]