【环球财经】英国通胀降温 提高12月降息可能性

Group 1 - UK inflation rate decreased from 3.8% in September to 3.6% in October, with core inflation also slowing from 3.5% to 3.4% [1] - Both goods and services inflation showed signs of easing, with service inflation dropping to 4.5%, influenced by lower-than-expected travel costs, tuition fees, and accommodation prices [1] - Oxford Economics predicts that UK inflation will continue to decline, potentially influenced by base effects from energy prices starting in the first half of 2026 [1] Group 2 - The Bank of England's monetary policy committee may have sufficient grounds to consider a rate cut in December, as the labor market slowdown and GDP growth are weaker than previously forecasted [1] - The upcoming autumn budget from the Labour government introduces uncertainty regarding the path to rate cuts, as it may include tax increases aimed at curbing inflation [2][3] - The Chancellor of the Exchequer, Reeves, has expressed a commitment to implement measures to reduce prices, but the impact of the budget on inflation remains to be seen [3] Group 3 - The current exchange rate of the British pound against the US dollar is stable around 1.31, close to a seven-month low reached earlier in the month [4]