SIA(SH:600009) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-11-19 14:36Company Dynamics - The Ministry of Finance and four other departments issued a notice on October 31, 2025, regarding the improvement of duty-free shop policies to boost consumption [2] - Shanghai Airport has recently initiated the bidding process for duty-free shop projects at Pudong and Hongqiao International Airports [2] Company Performance - The duty-free business is showing signs of improvement year-on-year, with the company reporting duty-free rental income of 314 million yuan in Q3 2025, an 18% increase compared to the previous year, marking the first positive growth since Q2 2024 [3] - The new duty-free policies from the Ministry of Finance are expected to provide additional growth opportunities for the company's duty-free business, allowing for a broader range of products to be sold at duty-free shops [3] - The new regulations permit the procurement of domestic goods for sale in duty-free shops, which will be treated as exports, exempting them from VAT and consumption tax [3] - The online sales channel may still face some pressure, but it could benefit the offline sales at port duty-free shops [3] Bidding Situation - The new bidding information indicates that certain terms may enhance the bargaining power of airports, allowing qualified domestic and reputable foreign companies to participate in the bidding process [3] - The bidding process divides different terminals at Pudong and Hongqiao airports into three segments, with restrictions on winning multiple segments [3] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company maintains its profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 at 2.26 billion yuan and 2.73 billion yuan, respectively [4] - The current stock price corresponds to a P/E ratio of 36.0 times and 29.7 times for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with a target price of 34.5 yuan, indicating a 6% upside potential from the current price [4]