议息会议表明分歧加剧，12月降息预期降至30%，金价冲高回落

Core Viewpoint - Gold prices experienced a strong surge, reaching a peak of $4,134 before retreating, influenced by increasing divergence in the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions [1] Group 1: Gold Market Performance - As of the close, COMEX gold futures rose by 0.29% to $4,078.30 per ounce [1] - The China Gold ETF (518850) increased by 1.78%, while the Gold Stock ETF (159562) saw a rise of 4.13% [1] Group 2: Federal Reserve Insights - The minutes from the Federal Reserve's October policy meeting revealed significant divisions among decision-makers regarding interest rate cuts [1] - Despite concerns that rate cuts could hinder efforts to control inflation, which has remained above the 2% target for the past four and a half years, the Fed ultimately decided to lower rates [1] - Following the meeting, Fed officials expressed increased worries about inflation and showed a tendency to oppose further rate cuts in December, with current market expectations for a rate cut at only about 30% [1] Group 3: Market Sentiment and Future Outlook - Analysts from CITIC Futures noted that there may be cautious sentiment in the market ahead of important earnings reports from U.S. stocks [1] - The upcoming release of the Fed's October meeting minutes and non-farm payroll data could lead to market anticipations, particularly given the ongoing cooling in the labor market [1] - The long-term bullish trend for precious metals is expected to be maintained [1]