Henan Zhongfu Industrial (SH:600595) Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-11-20 02:05Core Viewpoint - The increasing penetration of electric vehicles is driving demand for aluminum alloy wheels, prompting companies to invest in production capacity, as exemplified by Zhongfu Industrial's recent announcement of a 259 million yuan investment in a new project for producing 3 million wheels [2][3]. Investment Details - Zhongfu Industrial's wholly-owned subsidiary, Guangyuan Linfeng Aluminum Materials, plans to invest 259 million yuan in the "Aluminum-based New Materials Green Intelligent Manufacturing 3 Million Wheel Collaborative Upgrade Project" located in Guangyuan Economic and Technological Development Zone, Sichuan Province [3]. - The total investment includes 142 million yuan for new construction and 117 million yuan for working capital, all funded through self-raised capital [3]. - The project will be executed in two phases: the first phase involves producing 2 million wheels with a construction period of 14 months, while the second phase will produce 1 million wheels over 12 months [3]. Financial Projections - Upon reaching full production, the project is expected to generate an additional annual sales revenue of 1.182 billion yuan (approximately 1.046 billion yuan excluding tax) and a total profit of 30.46 million yuan [4]. - The internal rate of return after tax is projected at 10.8%, with a payback period of about 10 years [4]. - The investment is seen as a strategic move to enhance the company's competitive edge in the aluminum alloy wheel market by leveraging industry synergies [4]. Company Performance - Zhongfu Industrial reported a significant increase in net profit by 63.25% year-on-year for the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 1.187 billion yuan, primarily driven by improved profitability in the electrolytic aluminum business [6]. - However, the company's net cash flow from operating activities decreased by 59.69% to 314 million yuan, raising concerns about cash flow management amid substantial capital expenditures [6]. Industry Context - The aluminum alloy wheel market is characterized by high order concentration and intense price competition, which poses risks to the new investment project [5]. - The company has established a "green hydropower aluminum" industrial layout in Guangyuan, utilizing sustainable energy sources to reduce carbon emissions [4].