Core Viewpoint - CICC maintains the earnings forecast for Minhua Holdings (01999) at HKD 21.24 billion for FY2026 and HKD 22.48 billion for FY2027, with the current stock price corresponding to a P/E ratio of 9x for both fiscal years, indicating a 27% upside potential to the target price of HKD 6.5, which corresponds to a P/E of 12x for FY2026 and 11x for FY2027 [1]. Group 1: Financial Performance - For 1HFY26, the company achieved a revenue of HKD 80.45 billion, a decrease of 3.1% year-on-year, and a net profit of HKD 11.46 billion, an increase of 0.6% year-on-year, aligning with CICC's expectations [2]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of HKD 0.15 per share, resulting in a payout ratio of 50.8% [2]. Group 2: Sales Performance - Domestic sales revenue decreased by 6% to HKD 46.75 billion, while online sales showed a growth of 13.6% to HKD 11.44 billion, indicating a shift towards online channels [3]. - In the overseas market, revenue from North America, Europe, and other regions increased by 0.3%, 4.3%, and 2.2% respectively, demonstrating stable growth despite tariff disruptions [3]. Group 3: Profitability Metrics - The gross margin improved by 0.9 percentage points to 40.4%, with gross margins in China, overseas, and other regions increasing by 0.8, 1.1, and 0.3 percentage points respectively [4]. - The net profit margin also increased by 0.5 percentage points to 14.2%, driven by improved operational efficiency and cost control [4]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - The company reduced its number of stores by 327 to 7,040, with a corresponding revenue decline of 12.3% in physical stores, but anticipates improved operational efficiency from ongoing store optimization [5]. - The company is focusing on multi-channel strategies domestically and enhancing brand building while expanding internationally through global capacity collaboration and participation in international exhibitions [5].
中金：维持敏华控股(01999)“跑赢行业”评级 目标价6.5港元