美国劳动力市场将延续疲软态势 9月非农报告负面影响或被放大

Core Insights - The September non-farm payroll report, delayed due to the U.S. government shutdown, is expected to be the last reliable employment data for the coming months due to disruptions in data collection and analysis [1] - Economists predict an addition of 50,000 jobs in September, with the unemployment rate expected to remain unchanged at 4.3%. If these predictions hold true, 2025 could become the weakest year for U.S. job growth since the pandemic and the global financial crisis [1] - The current labor market's weakness is anticipated to persist, as noted by economists from Indeed Hiring Lab [1] - Any disappointing data in the current context may be exacerbated due to a six-week data vacuum, according to a senior economist from Pantheon Macroeconomics [1]