油价调整：注意，预计下调45元/吨，油价能跌吗？

Core Insights - The current oil price adjustment cycle indicates a decrease of 45 yuan/ton, with an increased expected drop of 5 yuan/ton compared to yesterday, remaining below the adjustment threshold [1] - International oil prices have experienced a significant drop due to geopolitical developments, particularly related to the Russia-Ukraine situation, with expectations of a potential framework agreement by the end of the month [3] - The latest EIA data shows a reduction in U.S. crude oil inventories by 3.426 million barrels, contrasting with an expected decrease of 603,000 barrels, while gasoline inventories increased by 2 million barrels against an expected decrease [3] Oil Price Trends - As of the latest reports, U.S. crude oil is trading at $59.47 per barrel, showing a slight increase of 0.10% after a previous drop of 1.92% [3] - Brent crude oil also saw a decline of 1.74%, closing at $63.66 per barrel [3] - The upcoming U.S. non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate are anticipated to influence further fluctuations in oil prices [3] Regional Fuel Prices - The new fuel price adjustments will take effect on November 24, with specific prices for various fuel types listed for major cities [4][5][6] - For example, in Beijing, the price for 92 octane gasoline is 6.94 yuan/liter, while 95 octane is priced at 7.39 yuan/liter [4] - Prices vary across regions, with notable differences in cities like Shanghai, Guangdong, and Jiangsu [5][6]