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债市延续震荡整理,关注十年国债ETF(511260)配置机会
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen·2025-11-20 03:42

Core Viewpoint - The bond market continues to experience fluctuations, with the ten-year government bond ETF (511260) slightly down by 0.04% and the thirty-year government bond futures down by 0.41%. The central bank's "moderate easing" stance has led to uncertainty in interest rates, and despite weak credit expansion, monetary policy is not significantly relaxed, resulting in a complex bond market environment [1] Group 1 - The central bank's gradual shift towards more precise and efficient regulation aims to avoid excessive liquidity, contributing to the bond market's entangled state [1] - The resumption of government bond trading by the central bank sets a ceiling for bond yields, while external risks easing prevents the ten-year bond yield from dropping to 1.6%, indicating limited overall volatility [1] - From an asset allocation perspective, bonds are viewed as a hedge against stock market risks, with a recommendation to focus on the ten-year government bond ETF (511260) for balanced stock-bond allocation [1]