中信建投:中国医药企业积极探索多元化出海 重点把握新增量及行业并购整合
China MehecoChina Meheco(SH:600056) 智通财经网·2025-11-20 04:40

Core Insights - The Chinese pharmaceutical industry is entering a critical phase characterized by "innovation realization + global layout," supported by population and domestic demand, as well as comprehensive manufacturing capabilities [1] - Companies are actively exploring diversified overseas paths while strengthening supply chain security and compliance domestically [1] Group 1: Global Perspective - The value of innovation is becoming prominent, with Chinese pharmaceutical assets demonstrating global cost-effectiveness and significant collaborative potential [1] - In the first three quarters of 2025, overseas licensing of innovative drugs from China surpassed the total for the previous year, indicating a strong trend towards internationalization [1] Group 2: Domestic Value Restructuring - Focus on high-quality development through policy optimization, including collection optimization and multi-payment systems [2] - The commercialization phase for innovative drugs is underway, emphasizing the importance of supply chain security [2] - Domestic medical devices are extending into mid-to-high-end markets, with optimism surrounding overseas expansion and the implementation of new technologies [2] Group 3: Overseas Value Restructuring - The industry is entering an internationalization 2.0 era, with business development (BD) becoming a norm for innovative drugs [3] - Both domestic and overseas demand are recovering, providing opportunities for growth [3] - The raw materials sector is transitioning towards specialty raw materials and Contract Development and Manufacturing Organizations (CDMO) [3] Group 4: Investment Outlook for 2026 - Key investment themes include innovative drugs (e.g., ADC, second-generation IO, small nucleic acids) and innovative medical devices (e.g., AI healthcare, brain-machine interfaces) [4] - Companies with global clinical data and international capabilities in innovative drugs, as well as those actively expanding overseas in the medical device sector, are expected to perform well [4] - Marginal changes are anticipated from policy benefits and improvements in supply-demand dynamics, particularly in the CXO sector [4] - Integration opportunities exist for leading companies in niche medical device segments, state-owned enterprises in traditional Chinese medicine reform, and pharmaceutical companies with strong integration capabilities [4]