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Anurag Singh says AI rally overheated but far from a dotcom-style bubble
The Economic Timesยท2025-11-20 06:12

Core Viewpoint - The discussion emphasizes the distinction between current AI market dynamics and the dotcom bubble, highlighting that established tech giants are driving AI investments with solid revenue streams [2][11]. Group 1: Market Corrections and Valuations - Current market corrections are viewed as reasonable rather than indicative of a bubble, with potential drops of 30% being classified as healthy corrections [6][9]. - Valuations may appear stretched, but they are not deemed irrational, with the possibility of significant corrections for mega-cap tech stocks and AI players [9][11]. Group 2: AI Investment Dynamics - Major AI investments are primarily funded by profits from established companies like Amazon, Microsoft, Meta, and Google, which mitigates excessive risk [3][11]. - The circular nature of tech investments is highlighted, where investments in companies like Anthropic lead to purchases of chips from Nvidia, raising concerns about sustainability [8][11]. Group 3: Nvidia's Role in the AI Market - Nvidia's valuation has become a focal point of debate, with initial skepticism about its rapid rise from a $1 trillion valuation to $4.5 trillion, indicating a potentially frothy market [7][11]. - The absence of alternatives in the GPU market is contributing to Nvidia's momentum, suggesting a unique position within the industry [7][11]. Group 4: Broader Market Sentiment - Despite pockets of excess in the market, the overall system is considered secure due to high revenues and strong competitive advantages among major players [8][11]. - Smaller, speculative companies pursuing futuristic technologies may create bubbles, but they are not seen as systemic risks to the broader market [8][11].